REIA welcomes state of the nation's housing report
The Real Estate
Institute of Australia (REIA) has welcomed the National Housing Finance and
Investment Corporation’s (NHFIC) first State of the Nation’s Housing Report.
REIA President,
Mr Adrian Kelly said this is the first assessment of housing demand and supply
across Australia since the National Housing Supply Council (NHSC) was abolished
at the end of 2013.
That report provided valuable information to Government
policy makers and to industry.
“Since the
abolition of NHSC, REIA has lobbied Government for the establishment of a
mechanism to provide reliable data on housing demand and supply in order to
formulate appropriate policies and to monitor their effectiveness.
With housing
affordability recognised as a policy priority, it is very pleasing that NHFIC
has filled that void with this much needed comprehensive analysis of factors
influencing demand and supply and thus affordability.
“The NHSC, in
its third and last report in early 2014 reported that the gap between the
supply and demand for housing was projected to increase in the future, putting
further pressure on housing prices.
It expected a cumulative demand-supply gap
of 557,000 dwellings in 2025 and 640,000 dwellings in 2013.
“NHFIC’s
forecasts, which reflect the unforeseen circumstances of 2020 and their impacts
together with a revised methodology, expect new supply to outpace new demand by
127,000 dwellings in 2021 and 68,000 dwellings in 2022, with cumulative new
supply to outpace new demand by around 93,000 by the end of the five-year
projection period after demand rebounds in 2023,” he said.
Mr Kelly said
that as a consequence affordability, particularly rental affordability, is
expected to improve over the next two years. Beyond that affordability for
renters and prospective first home buyers could deteriorate if supply is not
responsive to the rebound in demand.”
“These
projections come off the back of REIA’s latest Housing Affordability Report
which showed a ten-year high for first home ownership and an overall
improvement in housing affordability across Australia and point to a bright
spot for those considering entering the market,” concluded Mr Kelly.
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